The predictions are in for the number of wins per NFL team in 2024. Most teams have stayed pretty consistent, but several have made leaps. Here’s a rundown of the divisional wins expected so you can plan for the ones that could take on the most bets. Make a choice after taking a look at our NFL Division preview 2024.
American Football Conference
AFC East | Predicted Wins |
---|---|
Buffalo Bills | 10.5 |
Miami Dolphins | 9.5 |
New York Jets | 9.5 |
New England Patriots | 4.5 |
From this early point of view, Buffalo could win the AFC East, but Miami and New York are right behind them. New England is well back in last place. The Dolphins posted nine wins in 2021 and 22, with 11 wins in 2023. They continue to boast the fastest offense in the league and will have a strong year if their defense keeps up.
The Jets didn’t bet all their money on Aaron Rodgers. They’ve been busy beefing up the offense in the offseason, signing and drafting new players, and their defense is already in place. All they need now is for Rodgers to make this team gel under his leadership and experience.
AFC North | Predicted Wins |
---|---|
Baltimore Ravens | 10.5 |
Cincinnati Bengals | 10.5 |
Cleveland Browns | 8.5 |
Pittsburgh Steelers | 8.5 |
With the number of predicted wins they have this season, the AFC North might take over as the toughest division in the league.
The Ravens have a slimmer Lamar Jackson and have lost three offensive linemen in front of him. Plus, defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald left and became the head coach of the Seahawks. With a first-place schedule, they will have a tough time winning this division.
The Bengals could do well because of a favorable schedule outside the AFC North. They take on the Patriots, Commanders, Panthers, Giants, and Titans, all with six or fewer wins last season. This team can lead the division as long as Joe Burrow stays healthy.
AFC South | Predicted Wins |
---|---|
Houston Texans | 9.5 |
Jacksonville Jaguars | 8.5 |
Indianapolis Colts | 8.5 |
Tennessee Titans | 6.5 |
Expectations are high for the Texans to retake the division after a surprise 10 wins last season. But that means their schedule will include other division leaders, such as the Chiefs, Ravens, Cowboys, Bills, and Lions. If they can at least break even in those games, they’ll lead the division again.
Indianapolis’ quarterback Anthony Richardson only completed four games last year before suffering a season-ending shoulder injury. His potential is there, and the Colts have been improving the offense and defense in the off-season. They should be good for at least nine wins.
AFC West | Predicted Wins |
---|---|
Kansas City Chiefs | 11.5 |
Los Angeles Chargers | 8.5 |
Las Vegas Raiders | 6.5 |
Denver Broncos | 5.5 |
Since Mahomes became the starting quarterback for the Chiefs, they’ve only missed getting 12 wins once. That was last year – and they still won the Super Bowl. Their strength is the playoffs, so they no longer worry about getting home-field advantage. They’ll be resting their players and sacrificing a win or two.
With only five wins last season, the Los Angeles Chargers might be able to hit at least eight wins with talented head coach Jim Harbaugh. He’s got the resume. Is he worth betting on?
National Football Conference
NFC East | Predicted Wins |
---|---|
Dallas Cowboys | 10.5 |
Philadelphia Eagles | 10.5 |
New York Giants | 6.5 |
Washington Commanders | 6.5 |
The Cowboys are not looking impressive this year, although it is a contract year for quarterback Dak Prescott. Hopefully, that will create enough pressure for him to improve his passing game.
The Eagles disappointed their fans when they crashed in the second half of the season. Management replaced both coordinators with experienced coaches to keep that from happening again. Their schedule starts easy, which should boost their confidence for an 11-win season.
NFC North | Predicted Wins |
---|---|
Detroit Lions | 10.5 |
Green Bay Packers | 9.5 |
Chicago Bears | 8.5 |
Minnesota Vikings | 6.5 |
Watch for Detroit to continue to do well. They will have a more difficult schedule, but they’ve kept their offensive coordinator, Ben Johnson, and plugged up their defensive weaknesses by adding cornerbacks Terrion Arnold, Carlton Davis, and Amik Robertson.
The Packers could threaten Detroit’s domination of the NFC North. Most of their offensive line is intact, but they’ve added another lineman in the draft’s first round to complete it. Quarterback Jordon Love has considerable support around him, so he can continue to shine.
NFC South | Predicted Wins |
---|---|
Atlanta Falcons | 9.5 |
Tampa Bay Buccaneers | 7.5 |
New Orleans Saints | 7.5 |
Carolina Panthers | 5.5 |
The Falcons are probably in the weakest division, but they are up against a tough start to the season, going against the Eagles, Chiefs, Saints, and Buccaneers. Their quarterback, Kirk Cousins, may still be recovering from a torn Achilles, and they have a first-time offensive coordinator, Zac Robinson. The Falcons have a much-improved offense, which should put them at the top of the division as long as all the other issues aren’t a problem.
Still, they have Tampa Bay to deal with, which has won the division for the last three years and has kept most of their offensive starters.
NFC West | Predicted Wins |
---|---|
San Francisco 49ers | 11.5 |
Los Angeles Rams | 8.5 |
Seattle Seahawks | 7.5 |
Arizona Cardinals | 6.5 |
Aside from Brock Purdy, who is 24, the bulk of the starters on the 49ers are older veterans. It’s starting to look like this may be their last year to win the Super Bowl. Perhaps they’ll take a page from Kansas City’s playbook and not worry about home-field advantage in the playoffs. If they can reduce the workload of their veterans, the team might get past the NFC Championship game this year.
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